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V-Lab

CBOE Energy ETF Volatility Index Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Inactive

Last recorded values (Monday, February 14th, 2022):

1 Day

111.99%

1 Week

109.19%

1 Month

102.17%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 3, 2022 at 04:59 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of CBOE Energy ETF Volatility Index APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 16, 2011 to Feb 11, 2022

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 33% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1669
5.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1421
17.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8147
75.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2775
-8.11***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
6.41***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days