Bloomberg US Aggregate: Government-Related Total Return Index Unhedged USD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3.69%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
3.70%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
3.75%
increased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:58 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2292 | 9.83 | |
| 0.0329 | 7.41 | |
| 0.9590 | 176.25 | |
| 0.0006 | 0.72 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
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