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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Aggregate: Government-Related Total Return Index Unhedged USD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3.69%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

3.70%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

3.75%

increased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:58 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg US Aggregate: Government-Related Total Return Index Unhedged USD SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
ω1.22929.83
α0.03297.41
β0.9590176.25
γ10.00060.72
Estimation Period:
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021