Bloomberg US Aggregate: Government-Related Total Return Index Unhedged USD GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3.64%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
3.65%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Month
3.68%
decreased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0005 | 16.27 | |
| 0.0327 | 30.54 | |
| 0.9607 | 759.48 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
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