Bloomberg US Aggregate: Government-Related Total Return Index Unhedged USD AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
3.73%
increased by 0.03%
1 Week
3.74%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
3.78%
increased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:57 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0006 | 14.63 | |
| 0.0358 | 29.80 | |
| 0.9561 | 646.01 | |
| -0.0256 | -3.61 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
Dec 30, 1993 to Nov 12, 2021
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