Bloomberg US Credit Aa Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
5.09%
increased by 0.04%
1 Week
5.08%
increased by 0.03%
1 Month
5.03%
decreased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:58 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0002 | 11.71 | |
| 0.0492 | 30.11 | |
| 0.9457 | 513.14 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 23, 1996 to Nov 12, 2021
Apr 23, 1996 to Nov 12, 2021
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