Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:79.05% (+38.52%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7794 | 6.05 | |
| 0.1542 | 5.95 | |
| 0.7768 | 24.03 | |
| 0.2183 | 2.48 | |
| -0.3520 | -2.39 | |
| 0.2932 | 2.41 | |
| -0.2272 | -2.10 | |
| 0.0370 | 0.48 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 26, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 26, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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