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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0217	12.97
$α$	0.0742	20.91
$β$	0.9258	290.49
$γ$	0.3448	11.41
$δ$	1.5734	28.67

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:42.98% (+1.00%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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