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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.6536	7.57
$α$	0.1487	6.07
$β$	0.8027	29.23
$γ_{1}$	0.0179	3.78

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:75.76% (-5.27%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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