Abacus Group Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:20.72% (+4.33%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7610 | 4.19 | |
| 0.0732 | 6.82 | |
| 0.8969 | 55.76 | |
| 0.1902 | 3.31 | |
| -0.3402 | -4.05 | |
| 0.2133 | 4.13 | |
| -0.0917 | -1.87 | |
| 0.1087 | 1.58 | |
| -0.2519 | -1.92 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 14, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Nov 14, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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