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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.0398	16.67
$α$	0.1989	23.81
$β$	0.7559	147.85
$γ$	0.0904	7.93

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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:65.00% (-4.22%)

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Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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