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V-Lab

Esr-Reit GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 1st, 2026

1 Day

23.78%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

29.56%

increased by 5.55%

1 Month

42.57%

increased by 18.56%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 07:52 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/30/2024

to

09/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Esr-Reit GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2022 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7335
2.36**
αARCH0.3833
1.66*
βGARCH0.5978
9.37***
γleverage-0.0475
-0.15

0.957

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7335
2.36**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3833
1.66*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5978
9.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0475
-0.15

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days