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Bloomberg EM USD Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 6th, 2026:1.78% (+0.31%)
Analysis last updated: Friday, February 6, 2026 at 08:56 PM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg EM USD Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω1.60014.98
α0.231410.78
β0.705628.17
γ1-0.2161-2.18
γ20.38562.38
γ3-0.3839-3.46
γ40.47725.44
γ5-0.4807-5.25
γ60.38874.31
γ7-0.2661-3.22
γ80.12671.73
γ90.07470.95
γ10-0.3833-2.71
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1997 to Apr 4, 2025
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts