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Permianville Royalty Trust Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026

1 Day

104,513.90

increased by 71.90

1 Week

112,631.98

increased by 8,189.98

1 Month

118,976.98

increased by 14,534.98

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/29/2024

to

10/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Permianville Royalty Trust ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 3, 2011 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 186 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~186 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0648
5.46***
αARCH0.1136
12.06***
βGARCH0.8827
96.98***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0058
-0.60

0.996

Persistence

186d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0648
5.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1136
12.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8827
96.98***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0058
-0.60

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

186 days