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Keppel Infrastructure Trust Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

2,658.22

increased by 48.69

1 Week

2,644.40

increased by 34.87

1 Month

2,665.66

increased by 56.13

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Keppel Infrastructure Trust ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 12, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8252
8.01***
αARCH0.0512
7.30***
βGARCH0.9329
128.24***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0428
-7.49***
γ20.0724
7.70***

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8252
8.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0512
7.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9329
128.24***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0428
-7.49***
γ20.0724
7.70***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days