Optimal Blue 30-Year Fixed Rate Veterans Affairs Mortgage Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:12.57% (-0.49%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6399 | 8.16 | |
| 0.1118 | 4.33 | |
| 0.7645 | 19.99 | |
| 0.0174 | 0.72 | |
| -0.1102 | -2.50 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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