First Elite Capital Modaraba GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:94.97% (+9.44%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1028 | 12.04 | |
| 0.1009 | 23.08 | |
| 0.8778 | 161.09 |
Estimation Period:
May 1, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
May 1, 2012 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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