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Stride Property Group ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

64,415.99

increased by 5,240.13

1 Week

56,463.50

decreased by 2,712.36

1 Month

45,722.73

decreased by 13,453.13

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Stride Property Group ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 16, 2010 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2069 trading days (~8.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 175% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~2069 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 175% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow51
αARCH0.1845
8.99***
βGARCH0.6540
34.06***
γleverage0.3224
10.77***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.01
λ₂forecast adj.0.0709
2.42**
λ₃tau persistence0.9291
31.82***

1.000

Persistence

2069d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1845
8.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6540
34.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3224
10.77***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0709
2.42**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9291
31.82***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2069 days