Stride Property Group ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
64,415.99
1 Week
56,463.50
1 Month
45,722.73
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 11:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 16, 2010 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2069 trading days (~8.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 175% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 51 | |
| αARCH | 0.1845 | 8.99*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6540 | 34.06*** |
| γleverage | 0.3224 | 10.77*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0709 | 2.42** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9291 | 31.82*** |
1.000
Persistence2069d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1845 | 8.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6540 | 34.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3224 | 10.77*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0709 | 2.42** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9291 | 31.82*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2069 days
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