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PermRock Royalty Trust ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 30th, 2026

1 Day

439,551.50

decreased by 123,387.60

1 Week

460,012.76

decreased by 102,926.34

1 Month

288,687.25

decreased by 274,251.85

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/29/2024

to

10/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PermRock Royalty Trust ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 2, 2018 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.1574
8.14***
βGARCH0.6744
15.50***
γleverage-0.1574
-5.54***
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
0.03
λ₂forecast adj.0.3872
23.70***
λ₃tau persistence0.6128
34.84***

0.753

Persistence

2d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1574
8.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6744
15.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1574
-5.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.03
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3872
23.70***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6128
34.84***

Persistence:

0.753

Half-life:

2 days