Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:107.16% (-5.84%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1040 | 4.94 | |
| 0.1854 | 7.22 | |
| 0.6252 | 16.55 | |
| 0.1026 | 2.91 | |
| -0.1193 | -2.53 | |
| 0.0281 | 1.10 | |
| -0.0007 | -0.03 | |
| -0.0358 | -1.42 | |
| 0.0417 | 1.39 | |
| -0.0195 | -0.60 | |
| -0.0002 | -0.01 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 3, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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