TLT Percentage Price Volatility Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 19th, 2026:100.44% (+8.22%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9539 | 7.82 | |
| 0.1613 | 5.40 | |
| 0.7172 | 15.19 | |
| -0.0386 | -1.58 | |
| 0.0419 | 1.14 | |
| 0.0431 | 1.53 | |
| -0.0986 | -3.55 | |
| 0.0704 | 3.46 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2004 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 2004 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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