ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:77.80% (+0.19%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7533 | 7.47 | |
| 0.1171 | 6.82 | |
| 0.6916 | 16.54 | |
| -0.0031 | -0.08 | |
| 0.0373 | 0.66 | |
| -0.0771 | -2.11 | |
| 0.0513 | 1.37 | |
| -0.0003 | -0.01 | |
| -0.0065 | -0.18 | |
| -0.0418 | -1.11 | |
| 0.1283 | 3.46 | |
| -0.1681 | -4.13 | |
| 0.1052 | 3.29 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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