ICE BofAML U.S. Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 23rd, 2026:79.99% (-0.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7641 | 7.66 | |
| 0.1169 | 6.79 | |
| 0.6898 | 16.38 | |
| -0.0050 | -0.13 | |
| 0.0468 | 0.84 | |
| -0.0949 | -2.60 | |
| 0.0710 | 1.89 | |
| -0.0163 | -0.43 | |
| 0.0045 | 0.12 | |
| -0.0501 | -1.32 | |
| 0.1367 | 3.49 | |
| -0.1791 | -3.65 | |
| 0.1273 | 1.93 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 20, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 20, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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