Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:168.89% (-3.72%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2977 | 5.01 | |
| 0.1802 | 7.19 | |
| 0.6178 | 15.45 | |
| 0.1434 | 3.24 | |
| -0.1635 | -2.71 | |
| 0.0221 | 0.61 | |
| 0.0232 | 0.66 | |
| -0.0464 | -1.16 | |
| 0.0115 | 0.25 | |
| 0.0396 | 0.99 | |
| -0.0823 | -2.36 | |
| 0.1984 | 4.43 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 3, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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