S&P 500 Financials Sector Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:17.84% (+0.88%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9704 | 7.16 | |
| 0.1006 | 10.06 | |
| 0.8699 | 74.74 | |
| 0.0553 | 1.90 | |
| -0.0385 | -0.83 | |
| -0.1023 | -2.99 | |
| 0.1979 | 6.65 | |
| -0.2137 | -7.36 | |
| 0.1724 | 5.57 | |
| -0.1061 | -3.70 | |
| 0.0447 | 2.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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