S&P Composite 1500 Consumer Discretionary Sector Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:19.54% (+1.17%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4813 | 4.64 | |
| 0.1054 | 10.41 | |
| 0.8736 | 78.18 | |
| -0.0674 | -3.49 | |
| 0.0949 | 3.51 | |
| -0.0527 | -3.00 | |
| 0.0555 | 3.26 | |
| -0.0459 | -3.81 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 29, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 29, 1994 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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