PAREF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:43.26% (+20.27%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5711 | 4.40 | |
| 0.2191 | 5.90 | |
| 0.6650 | 14.16 | |
| -0.1047 | -1.76 | |
| 0.0840 | 0.94 | |
| 0.0846 | 1.37 | |
| -0.1188 | -2.16 | |
| 0.1037 | 1.20 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 21, 2005 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 21, 2005 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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