Morgan Stan EMG MKT Debt FD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:7.84% (+0.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2855 | 5.51 | |
| 0.1788 | 7.48 | |
| 0.7512 | 27.83 | |
| 0.0363 | 1.58 | |
| -0.0357 | -1.05 | |
| -0.0176 | -0.85 | |
| 0.0609 | 3.36 | |
| -0.0949 | -3.71 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1998 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1998 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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