BH Macro Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:12.31% (-0.81%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2934 | 4.24 | |
| 0.0982 | 5.51 | |
| 0.8015 | 23.86 | |
| -1.2521 | -6.02 | |
| 1.9026 | 5.02 | |
| -1.1398 | -2.55 | |
| 0.7606 | 1.74 | |
| -0.2296 | -0.79 | |
| -0.0312 | -0.16 | |
| -0.0902 | -0.56 | |
| 0.0083 | 0.04 | |
| 0.0095 | 0.03 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 8, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
Mar 8, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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