Merchants Trust PLC/The Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:17.28% (-0.58%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8672 | 5.22 | |
| 0.0987 | 6.95 | |
| 0.8366 | 38.82 | |
| -0.2912 | -4.58 | |
| 0.4236 | 4.60 | |
| -0.1758 | -3.07 | |
| 0.1314 | 2.45 | |
| -0.2185 | -3.20 | |
| 0.2290 | 2.39 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 2, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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