Excelsior Capital Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:44.34% (-0.28%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9599 | 4.17 | |
| 0.1093 | 6.40 | |
| 0.8432 | 31.87 | |
| -0.3575 | -2.63 | |
| 0.4951 | 2.49 | |
| -0.1450 | -0.99 | |
| 0.0774 | 0.49 | |
| -0.1404 | -0.80 | |
| 0.1503 | 0.90 | |
| -0.3266 | -1.86 | |
| 0.5483 | 3.14 | |
| -0.5660 | -2.73 | |
| 0.7210 | 1.21 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 3, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 3, 1996 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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