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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.8083	6.08
$α$	0.0982	7.49
$β$	0.8796	50.55
$γ_{1}$	0.0051	1.59

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Morgan Stanley China A SH FD Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:15.02% (+0.64%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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