Aurora UK Alpha PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.94% (-0.12%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5785 | 2.85 | |
| 0.1823 | 6.51 | |
| 0.6727 | 14.46 | |
| -0.5107 | -1.05 | |
| 0.0002 | 0.00 | |
| 1.1851 | 3.60 | |
| -1.0332 | -2.72 | |
| 0.6311 | 1.77 | |
| 0.0497 | 0.14 | |
| -0.8060 | -2.02 | |
| 0.4241 | 1.23 | |
| 0.1461 | 0.56 | |
| -0.1564 | -0.42 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 2007 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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