AMCIL Ltd/fund Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:22.28% (+5.99%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1949 | 4.33 | |
| 0.1521 | 7.72 | |
| 0.7530 | 23.71 | |
| 0.1319 | 0.98 | |
| -0.4100 | -1.75 | |
| 0.5972 | 2.51 | |
| -0.6102 | -3.25 | |
| 0.5361 | 3.83 | |
| -0.4434 | -3.91 | |
| 0.3502 | 3.21 | |
| -0.1898 | -1.90 | |
| -0.0296 | -0.26 | |
| 0.2131 | 1.51 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 10, 2000 to Feb 13, 2026
Feb 10, 2000 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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