Aljazira Mawten Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:15.04% (-0.53%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9704 | 2.42 | |
| 0.1314 | 4.89 | |
| 0.7357 | 12.44 | |
| 2.0591 | 2.05 | |
| -3.4543 | -2.41 | |
| 3.9249 | 2.84 | |
| -5.1218 | -4.36 | |
| 3.6984 | 3.64 | |
| -1.1536 | -1.05 | |
| 0.1890 | 0.16 | |
| -0.8085 | -0.60 | |
| 1.5033 | 1.16 | |
| -1.9089 | -0.90 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 18, 2017 to Feb 12, 2026
Jul 18, 2017 to Feb 12, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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