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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.7798	4.03
$α$	0.1520	4.13
$β$	0.7223	10.41
$γ_{1}$	-0.5941	-2.26
$γ_{2}$	1.0113	2.55
$γ_{3}$	-0.5658	-1.63
$γ_{4}$	-0.0951	-0.18

V-Lab

Alarum Technologies Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:81.90% (-6.48%)

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News Impact Curve

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