V-Lab: SOLAI Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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SOLAI Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, October 27th, 2025:161.61% (-2.36%)

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 05:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.8469	3.96
$α$	0.2198	4.08
$β$	0.5062	6.00
$γ_{1}$	-0.1693	-0.97
$γ_{2}$	0.3307	1.25
$γ_{3}$	-0.0629	-0.32
$γ_{4}$	-0.4319	-2.71
$γ_{5}$	0.8264	3.55

Estimation Period:
Nov 22, 2013 to Oct 24, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts