S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:109.55% (-5.81%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.0853 | 8.95 | |
| 0.7180 | 15.52 | |
| -0.0792 | -6.99 | |
| 0.5631 | 0.40 | |
| 0.3118 | 0.43 | |
| 0.6433 | 0.78 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 7, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 7, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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