S&P GSCI Natural Gas Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:99.70% (-4.12%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1088 | 19.06 | |
| 0.0901 | 25.98 | |
| 0.9193 | 550.45 | |
| -0.0351 | -7.11 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 7, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 7, 1994 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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