S&P GSCI Cocoa Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:55.97% (+2.76%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0137 | 10.59 | |
| 0.0406 | 18.78 | |
| 0.9642 | 800.82 | |
| -0.0161 | -5.64 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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