S&P GSCI Cocoa Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:54.82% (+2.69%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 101 | ||
| 0.0414 | 23.65 | |
| 0.9436 | 386.23 | |
| -0.0286 | -17.28 | |
| 0.3573 | 4.53 | |
| 0.9129 | 13.02 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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