Templeton Dragon Fund Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:23.68% (+4.38%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8776 | 3.85 | |
| 0.0997 | 8.33 | |
| 0.8727 | 62.91 | |
| -0.0038 | -0.07 | |
| -0.0525 | -0.68 | |
| 0.1439 | 3.11 | |
| -0.1945 | -3.84 | |
| 0.1491 | 2.56 | |
| 0.0232 | 0.44 | |
| -0.1181 | -2.53 | |
| 0.0559 | 1.68 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 15, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 15, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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