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V-Lab

S&P 500 Materials Sector Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:22.16% (-0.44%)
Analysis last updated: Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 12:47 AM UTC
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P 500 Materials Sector Index SGARCH
paramt-stat
ω0.91747.20
α0.10299.01
β0.851654.25
γ10.02290.90
γ20.02510.65
γ3-0.1331-4.94
γ40.16726.84
γ5-0.1711-7.34
γ60.16006.22
γ7-0.0944-3.48
γ80.01180.31
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Impact of return on volatility tomorrow
Volatility Forecasts