S&P 500 Materials Sector Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:22.16% (-0.44%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9174 | 7.20 | |
| 0.1029 | 9.01 | |
| 0.8516 | 54.25 | |
| 0.0229 | 0.90 | |
| 0.0251 | 0.65 | |
| -0.1331 | -4.94 | |
| 0.1672 | 6.84 | |
| -0.1711 | -7.34 | |
| 0.1600 | 6.22 | |
| -0.0944 | -3.48 | |
| 0.0118 | 0.31 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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