Mesa Royalty Trust Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:58.27% (-2.33%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5485 | 2.81 | |
| 0.1875 | 9.62 | |
| 0.7428 | 32.61 | |
| -0.1829 | -1.45 | |
| 0.3316 | 1.89 | |
| -0.2455 | -2.67 | |
| 0.2754 | 3.49 | |
| -0.3833 | -5.32 | |
| 0.3593 | 4.80 | |
| -0.2873 | -4.00 | |
| 0.2625 | 4.20 | |
| -0.2368 | -3.16 | |
| 0.1348 | 2.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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