Mastercard Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, June 9th, 2026
1 Day
29.79%
decreased by 2.85%
1 Week
50.65%
increased by 18.01%
1 Month
1,314.10%
increased by 1,281.46%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 01:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.3952 | 1,416.61 | |
| 0.7730 | 5,768.61 | |
| -0.3365 | -1,401.91 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.4186 | 12.67 | |
| 0.5814 | 15.05 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 19, 2025 to Jun 5, 2026
Dec 19, 2025 to Jun 5, 2026
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