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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.1426	7.10
$α$	0.0957	16.97
$β$	0.8961	107.30
$γ$	-0.2078	-4.55
$δ$	0.9154	18.62

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Phoenix New Media Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:48.70% (+0.28%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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