V-Lab: 51 Talk Online Education Group Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

V-Lab

51 Talk Online Education Group Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, August 25th, 2025:55.96% (-1.64%)

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 22, 2025 at 11:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.8114	3.63
$α$	0.2234	4.39
$β$	0.5021	5.72
$γ_{1}$	1.1472	1.02
$γ_{2}$	-1.7194	-1.02
$γ_{3}$	1.5537	1.33
$γ_{4}$	-2.3204	-1.98
$γ_{5}$	2.7398	2.71
$γ_{6}$	-3.2994	-4.55
$γ_{7}$	3.1291	3.75
$γ_{8}$	-1.3292	-1.88
$γ_{9}$	0.0168	0.04

Estimation Period:
Jun 10, 2016 to Aug 22, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts