V-Lab: 51 Talk Online Education Group Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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V-Lab

51 Talk Online Education Group Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, December 8th, 2025:94.48% (-19.87%)

Analysis last updated: Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 01:43 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.7157	4.10
$α$	0.2076	4.74
$β$	0.5909	7.52
$γ_{1}$	0.2560	0.77
$γ_{2}$	-0.2578	-0.53
$γ_{3}$	0.0273	0.07
$γ_{4}$	-0.5149	-1.10
$γ_{5}$	0.9627	2.07
$γ_{6}$	-0.6003	-2.06

Estimation Period:
Jun 10, 2016 to Dec 5, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts