iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
2.04%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
2.06%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Month
2.12%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9150 | 3.45 | |
| 0.0711 | 6.30 | |
| 0.9027 | 61.73 | |
| -0.4120 | -2.31 | |
| 0.8288 | 3.11 | |
| -0.8720 | -4.01 | |
| 0.5376 | 2.68 | |
| 0.2499 | 1.61 | |
| -0.5661 | -3.76 | |
| 0.0491 | 0.28 | |
| 0.8098 | 4.19 | |
| -1.1536 | -4.80 | |
| 0.7614 | 2.42 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Jun 5, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Jun 5, 2026
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