iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:1.32% (-0.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9255 | 3.36 | |
| 0.0728 | 6.43 | |
| 0.9040 | 66.17 | |
| -0.4262 | -2.22 | |
| 0.8452 | 2.89 | |
| -0.8518 | -3.47 | |
| 0.4621 | 2.11 | |
| 0.3416 | 2.06 | |
| -0.5920 | -3.53 | |
| -0.0275 | -0.14 | |
| 0.9178 | 4.00 | |
| -1.1353 | -4.34 | |
| 0.5307 | 2.95 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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