Indian Rupee Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
6.78%
increased by 0.04%
1 Week
7.31%
increased by 0.57%
1 Month
9.14%
increased by 2.40%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7572 | 0.05 | |
| 0.1730 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8270 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0108 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1341 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1332 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0077 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0250 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0262 | -0.01 | |
| 0.0478 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0208 | 0.01 | |
| -0.1436 | -0.02 | |
| 0.3754 | 0.02 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 5, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 5, 2026
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