iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 23rd, 2026:1.28% (-0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9075 | 3.29 | |
| 0.0722 | 6.43 | |
| 0.9043 | 66.31 | |
| -0.4440 | -2.31 | |
| 0.8751 | 3.01 | |
| -0.8756 | -3.65 | |
| 0.4848 | 2.25 | |
| 0.3260 | 1.99 | |
| -0.5924 | -3.59 | |
| 0.0014 | 0.01 | |
| 0.8474 | 3.62 | |
| -1.0286 | -3.56 | |
| 0.3539 | 1.14 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 20, 2026
Jul 26, 2002 to Feb 20, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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